Inflation Climbs to 16-Month High at 7% in February

Pakistan’s inflation rose to 7% in February 2026, marking the highest level since October 2024, as electricity price hikes and rising global uncertainty pushed consumer costs upward. According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 6.98% year-on-year, compared to 5.8% in January and 1.5% in February last year. Electricity Tariffs Drive Surge The biggest impact came from higher electricity prices after subsidy cuts and revised tariff structures. Housing, water, electricity, gas & fuels index rose 9.65% annually Electricity prices alone increased 10.03% month-on-month These adjustments significantly burdened households already coping with high living costs. Core Inflation & Interest Rates Core inflation showed slight easing: Urban core inflation: 7.1% (down from 7.2%) Rural core inflation: Stable at 8.3% The rise in CPI reduced real interest rates by around 120 basis points. The State Bank of Pakistan kept its policy rate unchanged at 10.5% last month. Food Prices Mixed Food inflation rose to 5.8%, up from 3.9% in January. Major increases: Tomatoes: +82% Wheat: +42.6% Wheat flour: +25.9% Meat: +11.3% Milk powder: +9.4% Price declines: Potatoes: -40% Chicken: -21.8% Gram pulse: -21.7% Onions: -17% Wholesale Pressure Rising The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) increased to 1.0%, signaling growing producer-level cost pressures that could pass on to consumers in coming months. External Risks Loom Analysts warn that escalating Middle East tensions could: Raise global oil prices Increase Pakistan’s import bill Pressure the rupee Worsen inflation further With millions of Pakistanis working in Gulf countries, any prolonged instability could also affect remittances — a key pillar of the economy.