Republicans were projected to win a majority in the US House of Representatives on Wednesday, setting the stage for two years of divided government as President Joe Biden’s Democratic Party held control of the Senate.
\nThe victory gives Republicans the power to rein in Biden’s agenda, as well as to launch potentially politically damaging probes of his administration and family, though it falls far short of the \u201cred wave\u201d the party had hoped for.
\nThe final call came after more than a week of ballot counting, when Edison Research projected Republicans had won the 218 seats they needed to control the House. Republican victory in California’s 27th Congressional district took the party over the line.
\nThe party’s current House leader, Kevin McCarthy, may have a challenging road ahead as he will need his restive caucus to hold together on critical votes, including funding the government and military at a time when former President Donald Trump has launched another run for the White House.
\n\u201cAmericans are ready for a new direction, and House Republicans are ready to deliver,\u201d McCarthy said on Twitter.
\nThe loss takes away some of Biden’s power in Washington but on Wednesday he congratulated McCarthy and said he would work across the aisle to deliver results.
\n\u201cThe American people want us to get things done for them,\u201d Biden said in a statement.
\nHouse Speaker Nancy Pelosi said in a statement House Democrats \u201cwill continue to play a leading role in supporting Biden’sent Bidens agenda \u2014 with strong leverage over a scant Republican majority.\u201d
\nDemocrats have been buoyed by voters’ repudiation of a string of far-right Republican candidates, most of them allies of Trump, including Mehmet Oz and Doug Mastriano in Pennsylvania’s Senate and governor’s races respectively, and Blake Masters in Arizona’s Senate contest.
\nEven though the expected \u201cred wave\u201d of House Republicans never reached shore, conservatives are sticking to their agenda.
\nIn retaliation for two impeachment efforts by Democrats against Trump, they are gearing up to investigate Biden administration officials and the president’s son Hunter’s past business dealings with China and other countries \u2014 and even Biden himself.
\nOn the international front, Republicans could seek to tamp down US military and economic aid to Ukraine as it battles Russian forces.
\nThe tug of inflation and abortion
\nThe US returns to its pre-2021 power-sharing in Washington, with voters tugged in opposite directions by two main issues during the midterm election campaigns.
\nHigh inflation gave Republicans ammunition for attacking liberals, who won trillions of dollars in new spending during the Covid-19 pandemic. With voters seeing their monthly grocery, gasoline and rent bills rising, so rose the desire for punishing Democrats in the White House and Congress.
\nAt the same time, there was a tug to the left after the Supreme Court’s June ruling ending the right to abortion enraged a wide swath of voters, bolstering Democratic candidates.
\nEdison Research, in exit polls, found that nearly one-third of voters said inflation topped their concerns. For one-quarter of voters, abortion was the primary concern and 61 per cent opposed the high-court decision in Roe v. Wade.
\nIn the Los Angeles mayoral contest, Edison projected that Democrat Karen Bass, a top progressive in Congress, had defeated Rick Caruso, a billionaire former Republican who ran on a platform of reducing crime and homelessness in the city. She stood at 53pc of the vote so far.
\nEyes on the presidential race
\nWhile the midterms were all about elections for the US Congress, state governors, and other local offices, hovering over it all was the 2024 US presidential race.
\nTrump, who still polls as the top choice among Republicans for the party’s presidential nomination, nevertheless suffered a series of setbacks as far-right candidates he either recruited or became allied with performed poorly on November 8. Some conservative Republican voters voiced fatigue with Trump.
\nAt the same time, Ron DeSantis coasted to a second term as governor of Florida, defeating Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by nearly 20 percentage points.
\nTrump, reportedly, was seething over the high marks political pundits were doling out to DeSantis, seen as a potential challenger to Trump in the 2024 field of Republican presidential candidates.
\nThe 2024 election will immediately influence many of the legislative decisions House Republicans pursue as they flex their muscles with a new-found majority, however narrow.
\nThey have publicly talked about seeking cost savings in the Social Security and Medicare safety-net programmes and making permanent 2017-enacted tax cuts that are due to expire.
\nConservatives are threatening to hold back on a needed debt-limit increase next year unless significant spending reductions are achieved.
\n\u201cIt’s critical that we’re prepared to use the leverage we have,\u201d far-right House Freedom Caucus Chairman Scott Perry told Reuters last month.
\nFirst, the House must elect a speaker for the next two years. McCarthy on Tuesday won the support of a majority of his caucus to run for the powerful position to succeed Pelosi.
\nWith such a narrow majority, McCarthy was working to get commitments from nearly every member of his unruly Republican members, having failed in just such an endeavor during a 2015 bid. Freedom Caucus members, about four dozen in all, could hold the keys to his winning the speakership and the viability of his speakership writ large.
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