The financial institution mentioned financial progress within the fiscal 12 months ending June 2016 was more likely to exceed final 12 months’s 4.2 p.c however miss the 5.5 p.c goal.
The financial institution additionally mentioned the inflation outlook was “low” regardless of headline inflation nudging up for seven consecutive months. The annual shopper inflation price rose to 4.17 p.c in April from 3.94 p.c in March.
Economists say Pakistan, a nation of 190 million folks, must develop by at the least 6 p.c a 12 months to soak up new entrants to the work drive.
In an announcement, the financial institution mentioned progress within the service sector and industrial actions would offset poor efficiency within the agricultural sector. There has additionally been an uptick in lending.
“GDP progress in FY16 is predicted to supply the wanted sustainability in progress trajectory and the idea for additional enchancment in FY17,” the financial institution mentioned in an announcement.
It added that overseas change reserves are anticipated to proceed constructing, whereas the present account deficit might be at round 1 p.c of GDP.
Potential headwinds for the financial system could come from a rise in world oil costs, the financial institution mentioned. Pakistan is a internet importer of oil.